2025/Q2 Article 11. Banco de España Business Activity Survey: 2025 Q2

2025/Q2 Article 11. Banco de España Business Activity Survey: 2025 Q2

Series: Economic Bulletin.

Author: Alejandro Fernández Cerezo and Mario Izquierdo.

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2025/Q2 Article 11. Banco de España Business Activity Survey: 2025 Q2 (485 KB)

Abstract

Rationale

The Banco de España Business Activity Survey (EBAE) provides highly valuable, real-time information on a broad sample of Spanish firms’ turnover, employment, costs and prices. This helps to diagnose current economic developments. This edition included a specific module on the potential impact of US tariff policy on Spanish firms and the strategies they plan to implement in response.

Takeaways

  • Firms reported a slight decline in turnover in Q2 (in seasonally adjusted terms), against the backdrop of high uncertainty.
  • Nearly 30% of Spanish firms reported being adversely affected by the tariff war, although these effects were mainly through indirect channels associated with heightened uncertainty and lower global economic activity.
  • More than 45% of the affected firms reported that they planned to pass through the increase in costs arising from the new tariffs to their selling prices. Meanwhile, 34% plan to diversify their supply chain by seeking suppliers in other countries and 28% intend to open new markets abroad.
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